Ethereum Holders Endure Unrealized Losses – Is ETH Undervalued?

Ethereum Holders Endure Unrealized Losses – Is ETH Undervalued?

Ethereum (ETH), which has lagged behind Bitcoin in its impressive rise to new highs, has underperformed during this cycle. Bitcoin continues to make headlines for its impressive surge. ETH, on the other hand, struggles to reclaim their yearly highs. Many investors are left wondering what its next move will be.

Despite the lackluster market action, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju’s data reveals a bright spot for ETH investors. Ju says that many ETH investors have unrealized gains, akin to ETH’s low point in early 2020 before its explosive bull market. According to Ju, the current market conditions may offer a unique investment opportunity for ETH long-term investors.

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Ju’s analysis shows that historically, significant price recoverys have followed phases of unrealized losss. The potential gains for Ethereum if it starts to gain momentum, and closes the gap between Bitcoin and Ethereum, could be huge. This could signal the start of a trend upwards for investors. Those who are patient and remain calm during this period of consolidation will be rewarded.

With market sentiment shifting and historical data supporting a bullish case, ETH’s next move could be pivotal. Investors and analysts are closely watching ETH’s price action in hopes of signs of a breakout which could reignite ETH’s momentum and deliver significant gains.

Last Chance To Purchase Ethereum

In recent weeks, Ethereum’s price has been showing signs of bullish movement despite its underwhelming performance in this cycle. ETH’s price has remained fairly stagnant compared with Bitcoin’s explosive rise. Despite this, there are some optimistic signals that suggest it could be your last chance to buy ETH before its price starts to rise.

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CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju’s critical data sheds light on a fascinating development: The ETH-BTC NuPL (Net Unrealized Loss/Profit) has reached a four-year low. This means that despite Ethereum’s lagging against Bitcoin, a large number of ETH holders have unrealized loss. 

Ethereum ETH-BTC NUPL hits a 4-year low Source: Ki Young Ju on X| Source: Ki Young Ju on X

This is similar to Ethereum’s bottom in early 2020 just before its explosive rally. Ju believes this period of underperformance could present an opportunity to long-term ETH Investors, as it may set up a possible surge.

Ju notes, however, that Ethereum’s success is heavily dependent on revenue generated through Web3 apps, and in particular stablecoins. The ecosystem is still promising but it feels highly leveraged. It’s also not likely to be resolved anytime soon. 

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Over a one-year timeframe, Ju finds ETH less appealing than BTC, although regulatory clarity in the future could change the dynamics and enhance Ethereum’s appeal. For now, the period of consolidation offers ETH enthusiasts a chance to take a position before price fluctuations.

Testing ETH is a Crucial Demand

After several days of consolidation in a sideways direction, Ethereum has traded at $3.120, just below its $3.446 local high. This consolidation indicates that ETH may be preparing to break out, especially after its recent surge over the 200-day moving median at $2,957. It is crucial to maintain bullish momentum by holding above this important support level.

ETH trading above $30,000 and 200-day MA TradingView: Chart of ETHUSDT above $30,000 and 200 day MA| Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

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If Ethereum remains above the 200-day moving median and continues on its upward trajectory then the next major resistance area will be the local maximum at $3,446. If ETH is able to break out above this level, it could challenge its yearly highests and potentially reach the $4,000 mark.

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The current price movement indicates a strong demand foundation above $3,000. If ETH can sustain this level, a bullish rally could be triggered. Failure to hold above this 200-day average could result in a return to lower support levels like $2,900, or even $2,500.

As of right now, ETH is poised to move higher. Traders are closely watching for confirmation of a break out of new highs.

Chart from TradingView, Featured Image from Dall-E

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leadzevs/ author of the article

LeadZevs (John Lesley) is an experienced trader specializing in technical analysis and forecasting of the cryptocurrency market. He has over 10 years of experience with a wide range of markets and assets - currencies, indices and commodities.John is the author of popular topics on major forums with millions of views and works as both an analyst and a professional trader for both clients and himself.

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